Oil Exports, Political Issues, and Stock Market Nexus

This study investigates the influence of oil export and political issues on Iraq's stock exchange using various Ordinary Least Square regression models. The empirical results show that the model's effect is not similar based on the explanatory variables included, such as the Covid-19 outbreak, financial crisis, parliament elections, and ISIS emergence are not significant. In contrast, the internal conflict, oil export, and oil prices are substantial effects on the index of the Iraq stock exchange from (2004 to 2021);researchers in the literature have neglected this market due to its novel establishment after (2003). Moreover, the market capitalization still considers very small compared to the regional financial markets. The study contributes to the existing knowledge because most studies on stock market determinants consider political, economic, democratic, or governmental factors. In contrast, here, most elements included using new measurements, such as the internal conflict by cutting off the financial share of the Kurdistan region from the central state budget. Finally, the analysis incorporates the conclusions with straightforward suggestions that policymakers can use, government, investors, and supervisors to control the stock market risk. © Econjournals.

Iraqi Stock Exchange Reactions to the Oil price, Covid-19 Aftermath, and the Saudi Stock Exchange Movements pre-during Vaccination Program

The study attempts to understand the influence of Brent oil price per barrel (BOP), the general index of 30 stocks in Saudi Arabia (MSCI30), the number of Covid-19 new infected cases (NIC_19), ounce gold price (OGP), and US dollar base to Iraqi Dinar exchange rate (USD_IQD) upon Iraq stock exchange (ISX60) using the daily period (25 February 2020-15 July 2021) divided into three subperiod;whole period pre-during covid-19, pre-Covid-19 and during Covid-19 vaccination process. The results indicate the long-run relationship between the regressors and the Iraq stock exchange in the subperiod before Covid-19 and during the Covid-19 vaccination process but did not appear for the whole period pre-during the covid-19 vaccination process. The results reveal a positive influence of (MSCI30 and USD_IQD) on ISX60 in the long term for a period before the Covid-19 vaccination process. And, the results indicate a negative influence of (BOP and OGP) respectively on (ISX60) in the long term, and (MSCI30) positively leads ISX60 in the long term during the Covid-19 vaccination process. The results are crucial to governments, investors, and policymakers because the Iraqi economic movements and stock exchange development need more highlight in the further studies, especially the vaccine discovery consequences. © 2022, Econjournals. All rights reserved.